When to open: When you need to conduct needs analysis / decompose JTBD / find the product core / calculate the market ceiling. This wiki integrates the yitang Truman system + Wang Huiwen's classic frameworks + the AI PM perspective.
One-sentence core:Truman: "When managing a startup, business model is not our top priority — needs analysis is.". 4-character formula Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + 4 keywords of product core + JTBD task-driven approach, covering the full chain from vague needs to ceiling estimation.
0. Core Definitions
| Concept | Definition |
|---|---|
| Needs analysis | What is the user's real problem? How painful is it? How frequent? |
| Product core | Users are willing to choose your product's minimum solution |
| JTBD | Jobs To Be Done - Task-driven needs analysis |
| Micro-sense | Keen intuition for the entire process of users using the product |
| Ceiling | The commercial space indicating how large a business can grow |
1. yitang 4-character formula Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate (exclusive complete version)
Yitang / Complete needs analysis system (4 stages: Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + JTBD) §I:
1.1 Overview of the 4-character formula
| Character | Session | Core action |
|---|---|---|
| Decompose | Practical 1: Stripping and decomposition chapter | Break down vague needs into specific scenarios + user groups + pain points |
| Deduce | Practical 2: Scenario deduction chapter | Use JTBD to deduce the task map and gain insight into real needs |
| Evaluate | Practical 3: Qualitative evaluation chapter | Good needs judgment across 3 proficiency levels: beginner → intermediate → advanced |
| Calculate | Practical 4: Ceiling calculation chapter | Commercial space estimation, how large the business can grow |
1.2 6 proficiency levels + 3 leaps
| Level | State | Training before the leap |
|---|---|---|
| L1 | Does not distinguish between needs / products / features | — |
| L2 | Knows needs are important, but cannot decompose them | Decompose |
| L3 | Able to decompose and deduce | Decompose + Deduce |
| L4 | Able to evaluate good needs | Evaluate |
| L5 | Able to calculate the ceiling | Calculate |
| L6 | Holistic strategy, needs drive products / growth / moats | Synthesis |
3 leaps:
- 1st leap: Vague → Decomposed (train Decompose)
- 2nd leap: Simple → Professional (train Deduce + Evaluate)
- 3rd leap: Local → Holistic (train Calculate + holistic strategy)
1.3 3 values of needs exploration
- Multiple-choice question —— Validate / falsify as early as possible, low-cost trial and error (decides whether to do it)
- Design question —— Comprehensively improve the quality of all decisions (decides how to do it)
- Math question —— Build conviction, understand business space (decides how large the scale is)
"The feeling of always carrying a time bomb while starting a business is too unbearable, spend some time researching the market and needs in advance,build conviction about user problems and the business ceiling space, and your entire management mindset will be much more composed."
2. Decompose - Detailed explanation of stripping and decomposition
Yitang / Complete needs analysis system (4 stages: Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + JTBD) §II:
2.1 2 core suggestions
- What you want to provide does not matter; what matters is what specific problems users want to solve
- Users are never a monolith; you can try to segment them
2.2 2 decomposition principles
| Principle | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Cut each grid 2-5 times | Cut until you reach specific, clear real needs |
| User group × scenario × pain point × frequency decomposition | 4-dimensional intersection |
2.3 6 decomposition cheat sheets
| # | Angle |
|---|---|
| 1 | By user group(age / gender / income / occupation / region) |
| 2 | By scenario(time / location / trigger condition) |
| 3 | By pain point severity |
| 4 | By frequency(daily / weekly / monthly / yearly) |
| 5 | By amount(customer unit price + LTV) |
| 6 | By existing alternative(direct competitor + indirect competitor) |
3. Deduce - Scenario deduction + JTBD (exclusive)
Yitang / Complete needs analysis system (4 stages: Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + JTBD) §III:
3.1 Micro-sense
Definition:Have extremely keen intuition for the entire process of users using the product.
Truman:"Excellent business leaders and product managers must cultivate top-tier "micro-sense". "
3.2 How to cultivate micro-sense (3-6 months around one specific needs scenario)
- Use it yourself 100 times
- Use it together with users 10 times
- Watch users use it 100 times
- Review every detail each time
- Find the most anomalous users (the ones who love it most + the ones who hate it most) for deep conversations
3.3 Yitang localized version of JTBD
JTBD (Jobs To Be Done, task-driven): What task do users hire your product to complete?
3 types of tasks:
| Type | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Functional task(Functional) | Explicit, observable |
| Emotional task(Emotional) | Inner feeling |
| Social task(Social) | Others' perception |
Classic example (Clay Christensen milkshake):
- Surface task: Quench thirst / fill stomach
- Actual task:A non-boring breakfast when driving one-handed(morning commute scenario)
- Therefore the milkshake must be thick enough + drinkable one-handed + last for 20 minutes
3.4 JTBD one-pager template (L1-L4 canvas)
Yitang / Complete needs analysis system (4 stages: Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + JTBD) candy one-pager template:
L1: 我观察到的用户行为(谁 + 干啥 + 多频)
↓
L2: 用户的功能任务(显性需求)
↓
L3: 用户的情感 + 社交任务(隐性需求)
↓
L4: 任务深度推演 + 多需求横向对比
AI collaboration version: Let AI help you simulate JTBD for 100 different users.
4. Evaluate - Detailed explanation of qualitative evaluation
Yitang / Complete needs analysis system (4 stages: Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + JTBD) §IV:
4.1 3 proficiency levels: Beginner / Intermediate / Advanced
| Level | Evaluation criteria |
|---|---|
| Beginner | Is it really painful? How frequent? How large is the group? |
| Intermediate | How are the alternatives? Switching cost? Willingness to pay? Is it sustainable? |
| Advanced | Time window? Economies of scale? Moat? Ceiling? |
4.2 Wang Huiwen's 4 key traits of needs (classic supplement)
Yitang / Complete 66-page notes of Wang Huiwen's Tsinghua Product Course Part 2:
- Need strength(is it rigid)
- Need frequency(is it high)
- Need scale(is it large)
- Need willingness to pay(are users willing to pay)
4.3 6 insufficiencies in needs aesthetics
| Misconception | Manifestation |
|---|---|
| Treating it as static | Fill it out and never revise |
| Overly arrogant mindset | Think you are awesome, don't know you are unskilled |
| Too little exposure | Haven't seen good ones, don't know why they are good |
| Blind imitation | Copy when you see others doing it |
| Premature scaling | Think everyone wants it just because one user can use it |
| Not doing the math | Large need but the business model does not hold |
5. Calculate - Detailed explanation of ceiling calculation
Yitang / Complete needs analysis system (4 stages: Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + JTBD) §V:
5.1 Top-Down vs Bottom-Up
| Method | Logic | Suitable for |
|---|---|---|
| Top-Down(Top-Down) | Total market × penetration rate × customer unit price × cycle | Mature markets with rich industry reports |
| Bottom-Up(Bottom-Up) | Unit model × replication granularity × total number of units | New categories / innovative businesses |
Best practice:Calculate using both methods and check if they match. If difference > 50% → at least one calculation is wrong.
5.2 Horizontal comparison of multiple needs
Key point: Don't only calculate a single need; also calculate horizontal comparisons across multiple candidate needs.
Comparison dimensions:
- Ceiling size
- Entry difficulty
- Team fit
- Time window
- Long-term moat
6. Product core (Step 2 of the five-step method)
Yitang / Complete system of product core + unit model (Steps 2+3 of the five-step method) Part A:
6.1 Core definition
Product core = Users are willing to choose your product's minimum solution.
4 keywords:
| Word | Meaning |
|---|---|
| User | Specific to a certain type of person + a certain scenario |
| Willing to choose | Not just using, but voting with feet + choosing to pay |
| Minimum | Strip away all non-core elements |
| Solution | The way to solve the user's specific problem |
6.2 3 principles
| Principle | Reminder |
|---|---|
| Tool principle | The product core is only a tool for studying product value,not the product itself |
| Layered principle | All levels of the company can think using product core (SKU / business line / company) |
| Precision principle | Strive for the state of neither too big nor too small, just right status |
6.3 L3-L6 proficiency levels
| Level | Capability |
|---|---|
| L3 Strip out the minimum core | Conscious thinking + stripping |
| L4 Professionally evaluate the core | Evaluate strength + find the precise core |
| L5 Rapidly iterate the core | Dynamic iteration + repeated validation |
| L6 Comprehensively use the core | Fully migrate to product / growth / moat decisions |
6.4 Product core canvas (L3 tool)
[用户 + 场景]
↓
[核心问题/任务]
↓
[核心转化率指标]
↓
[影响转化率的关键要素]
↓
[决定性要素 ≈ 产品内核]
6.5 Product core vs unit model vs unit conversion rate
产品内核 = 单元模型「价值部分」的关键转化率
↓
影响这个关键转化率的因果关系
↓
价值足够(转化率过关)= 单元模型有信心跑通的「必要条件」
Truman emphasizes:The product core is about stripping out the "core value" part of the business model, validating it in advance, and avoiding major trial-and-error and business failure.
6.6 L4 Find the precise core (3 common misconceptions)
- Too large —— Treat the entire product as the core (counting packaging/service/appearance all in)
- Too small —— Only one feature point left (ignoring the compound nature of experience)
- Misaligned —— The stripped core is not the real core that affects user choice
L4 training:
- Validate with extreme user interviews (love most vs hate most)
- Validate with A/B testing (conversion rate change after removing a certain element)
- Validate with price elasticity (whether users still choose it after 50% price cut / 200% price increase)
6.7 L5 Dynamically iterate the core (4 driving factors)
- User evolution(Early Adopter → Late Majority)
- Competitor impact(when competitors have a similar core, you need a new core)
- Emergence of new technologies(AI changes the possibilities of the core)
- Scenario upgrade(from PC to mobile, the form of the core changes)
7. Wang Huiwen classic supplements
Yitang / Complete 66-page notes of Wang Huiwen's Tsinghua Product Course Part 2:
7.1 Supply-demand relationship
Key point: Don't only look at the demand side; also look at the supply side.
Meituan's supply-side analysis:
- Group buying: Supply side (catering merchants) is fragmented but order frequency is sufficient
- Food delivery: Supply side (restaurants) is relatively concentrated but delivery is a new supply side
- Hotel & travel: Supply side (hotels) is extremely concentrated
7.2 STP + 4P + 4 key traits
Complete framework (see Entrepreneurship Methodology (From 0 to 1) (Cross-Author Topic Synthesis) §4):
- STP:Segmentation → Targeting → Positioning
- 4P:Product / Price / Place / Promotion
- 4 key traits of needs: strength / frequency / scale / willingness to pay
7.3 PMF (Product-Market Fit)
Classic metric:40% of users say they "would be very disappointed" if you shut down the product(Sean Ellis test).
8. AI PM needs perspective (exclusive)
AI Product Manager Interview and Transition / Compilation of 12 Materials:
8.1 Differences between AI needs and Internet needs
| Dimension | Internet needs | AI needs |
|---|---|---|
| Clarity | Medium (user behavior is observable) | Low(model effects are unpredictable) |
| Data closed loop | User behavior logs | Data annotation + feedback + retraining |
| MVP | Quickly run through the process | Three-way balance of effect + speed + cost |
| Cold start | Lack of users | Lack of data(essential skill for algorithm PMs) |
8.2 Needs questions from 100 AI PM interview questions
- How to find PMF for AI products?
- How to do commercialization?
- Data cold start?
- How to build a data closed loop?
- Differences between algorithm PM vs application PM?
9. How to choose — Needs analysis paths by identity
| Who you are | Primary method | Starting point |
|---|---|---|
| Novice PM / want to get started | yitang 4-character formula | Decompose → Deduce → Evaluate → Calculate / L1-L6 levels |
| Business leader / entrepreneur | Truman's 3 values of needs | Three perspectives: multiple-choice question / design question / math question |
| Want to cultivate micro-sense | Truman's 3-6 month cultivation | Use it yourself 100 times + use it with users 10 times + watch users use it 100 times |
| Want to find the product core | yitang L3-L6 core levels | 4 keywords + 3 principles + product core canvas |
| Want to calculate market ceiling | Top-Down + Bottom-Up | Calculate both ways, check if they match |
| Want to be an AI PM | wiki-ai-pm-interview + JTBD | Data closed loop + 100 interview questions + three-way balance of effect speed cost |
| Classic product methodology | Wang Huiwen 4 key traits + STP+4P | Strength+frequency+scale+willingness to pay + PMF |
General discipline:
- Needs analysis is the top priority of entrepreneurship, not business model(Truman)
- What specific problems users want to solve is more important than what you want to provide
- JTBD distinguishes functional + emotional + social tasks
- Micro-sense is cultivated through 3-6 months of focus on one specific scenario
- Product core = the minimum solution users are willing to choose
- Cross-check Top-Down + Bottom-Up calculation methods
10. Reference list
Main original author wiki:
- Yitang / Complete needs analysis system (4 stages: Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + JTBD) —— 4-character formula Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate / 6 levels / 3 leaps / JTBD one-pager template / AI collaboration version
- Yitang / Complete system of product core + unit model (Steps 2+3 of the five-step method) —— Product Core: 4 Keywords + 3 Principles + L3-L6 Levels + Product Core Canvas
- Yitang / Complete Five-Step Framework (Key Assumptions + Business Milestones + 5 Advanced Stages of the Five-Step Method + Implementation) —— Step 1 of the Five-Step Method: Origin of Needs / Key Assumptions
- Yitang / Complete 66-Page Notes on Wang Huiwen's Tsinghua Product Course —— 4 Major Traits of Needs + Supply-Demand Relationship + STP + 4P + PMF
- AI Product Manager Interviews and Career Transition / Compilation of 12 Materials —— AI Needs vs. Internet Needs / 100 Interview Questions / Data Closed Loop
Related topic wikis (this series):
- Unit Economics / Economies of Scale / Business Model (Cross-Author Thematic Synthesis) —— Unit Economics / Economies of Scale (this batch, Batch 6)
- Entrepreneurship Methodology (From 0 to 1) (Cross-Author Thematic Synthesis) —— Entrepreneurship Methodology (Batch 1)
- Lean Startup / MVP / Key Assumptions (Cross-Author Thematic Synthesis) —— Lean Startup / MVP (Batch 7)
Related skills:
yitang-decompose-demand—— Deconstructing needsyitang-find-demand-origin—— Finding the origin of needsyitang-simulate-demand-scenario—— Scenario deductionyitang-qualitative-evaluate-demand—— Qualitative assessmentyitang-calculate-demand-ceiling—— Calculating the market ceilingyitang-find-precise-core—— Finding the precise coreyitang-iterate-product-core—— Iterating the product coreyitang-extract-minimal-core—— Stripping down to the minimum coreyitang-master-solution-design—— Solution design
History
- 2026-05-18: First release of the Topic-dimension wiki. Synthesized and rewritten from 5 author wikis. Led by the Yitang system (Truman's needs analysis + product core), supplemented by Wang Huiwen's classic content, with an AI PM perspective. Needs analysis is a relatively internal methodology with few disagreements.
Sources and related materials
- Yitang / Complete needs analysis system (4 stages: Decompose-Deduce-Evaluate-Calculate + JTBD)
- Yitang / Complete system of product core + unit model (Steps 2+3 of the five-step method)
- Yitang / Complete Five-Step Framework (Key Assumptions + Business Milestones + 5 Advanced Stages of the Five-Step Method + Implementation)
- Yitang / Complete 66-Page Notes on Wang Huiwen's Tsinghua Product Course
- AI Product Manager Interviews and Career Transition / Compilation of 12 Materials
- Unit Economics / Economies of Scale / Business Model (Cross-Author Thematic Synthesis)
- Entrepreneurship Methodology (From 0 to 1) (Cross-Author Thematic Synthesis)
- Lean Startup / MVP / Key Assumptions (Cross-Author Thematic Synthesis)